The Final table of the Main Event is about 6 weeks away. There is always betting on who will win the WSOP. Sometimes, even the players will bet on themselves (though you would think they have enough money riding on the tournament anyways).

Most of the time, betting on poker is a suckers bet since the vigorish is so high. Whenever there is a future bet like this one, almost always the bookies make the odds to short to be able to bet on anyone.

The fish, of course, want to bet on Phil Ivey. While he is an amazing player, he also has one of the smaller starting stacks. He has the added advantage that people will probably play worse against him. Some may play too scared and will fold too easily. Others may do the opposite and gamble too much. Pinnacle has Ivey to win at +601 (you can lay -745 to bet against him). I’d be tempted to play the ‘no’ here.

Joe Cada may be a good ‘yes’ bet at +1300. He is fifth in chips and is a solid player. As you can see compared to Ivey, you make over double betting on Cada, and the kid has more chips! He is also an all-around good player.

Some of the other bets seem to be about right. For example, chipleader Darvin Moon is +334 on yes and -386 on no. While some people will say the chipleader going into the final table never seems to win, you are still getting better than 3:1 with Moon. Also, if I am not mistaken, Chris Moneymaker was the chipleader going into the final table, and we all remember what happened there.